november ’06

Tuesday, November 14, 2006

Panch Tattva: Recent – ACC,BHARTIARTL,DRREDDY,GRASIM,HINDALCO and many more -13 Nov 2006

By krsna Khandelwal – A Stock Market Vedic Theory proponent

Dear Friends,

The ‘Panch Tattva’ analysis of Nifty items has thrown up following buying opportunities at the closing rates of 10 Nov 06:

 

ACC @1015/- gets 1010 points and hence may be moderately bought.

 

BHARTIARTL @544/- gets 1004 points and is ok for investment.

 

DRREDDY @788/- gets 1057 points and is ok for investment.

 

GRASIM @2696/- gets 1066 points and is ok for investment.

 

HDFC @1498/- gets 1120 points and is good for investment.

 

HINDALCO @184/- gets 1108 points and may be bought but please keep an eye on Aluminum prices and dehold if aluminum prices fall.

 

INFOSYSTCH @ 2139/- gets 1007 points but buy only with stop losses kept in mind as it may go down suddenly.

 

ITC @ 186/- gets 1030 points and may be bought.

 

TATASTEEL @ 502/- gets 1213 points and may be bought.

 

IPCL @ 294/- gets 1255 points and may be bought but please book profits along the way.

 

M&M @ 831/- gets 1011 points and buy it with strict stop losses in place.

 

PNB @516/- gets 1098 points and may be bought.

 

SAIL @87/- gets 1267 points and may be bought.

 

SUNPHARMA @ 952/- gets 1061 points and may be bought.

 

REL COMM @ 391/- gets 1026 points and may be bought.

 

GACEM @134/- gets 1091 points and may be bought.

 

OBC @241/- gets 1101 points and may be bought.

 

I have already told you that the indices have gone past the safe limits. The remaining items of Nifty may not be considered for buying just now. You may sell weaker and buy stronger.

 

Hari Om

BIRDINFO Stock Rx – A Vedic Prescription for stock market

Monday, November 13, 2006

Market Matrix – NIFTY’s strength under the ‘Panch-Tattva Teknik’ – 12 Nov 2006

By krsna Khandelwal – A Stock Market Vedic Theory proponent
Dear Friends,
The results for the second quarter FY07 have been declared. I have taken this occasion to analyse NIFTY’s strength under the ‘Panch-Tattva Teknik’ and the outcome can be seen below:
NIFTY at the level of 3834 (closing on the 10 Nov 06) gets 952 points and there is clear indication that at this level it is overly streched.Should any adverse news break, it will be badly coming down and hence the exposure may be limited to the extent possible.
If it had got 1000 points it would have been adjudged to be at its optimum level.Below it is weak.
In the past the study of Nifty under ‘Panch-Tattva Teknik’ have given accurate results, however no resonsibility is undertaken for the correctness or otherwise of the statement above. Since the excercise has a scientific basis the readers may keep in mind the possible impact suggested above.
Hari Om
BIRDINFO Stock Rx – A Vedic Prescription for stock market

Saturday, November 11, 2006

Market Matrix – A year ago – 11 Nov 2006

By krsna Khandelwal – A Stock Market Vedic Theory proponent

Dear Friends,

 

This piece was written exactly one year ago on 11 Nov 05. Since this has some valuable clues, which may be useful, even today I have reproduced it below for the readers, without editing:

 

“It is at end of the day that I am writing now. The Nifty closed at 2548 (+45) today and has brought cheers to the investors who felt threatened on account of the fall on Oct 05.

 

I mentioned on 9 Nov 05 that the liquidity is surely the safeguard provider for the market against plunging down. I think, since the results overall have not been disappointing the investors have some inclination to park funds in the equity arena. I am however surprised at the speed of correction and resurgence. In a mature market when the players can judge the impact of events and the possibility of the events in store, the knee jerk reactions and actions are rather a cause of worry. This only suggests that the pool of equity related securities is not big enough compared to size of economy domestically and the world resources allocable to Indian markets at present. This suggests the pool about which I am talking has to grow itself or through inviting capital through issues. In my opinion, should the GDP grow at 7-8% per year for the next five years the size of the equity pool has to surge from around INR 20 Lac Crores to about INR 50 Lac Crores? Half of the incremental INR 30 Lac Crores would be through fresh offering and the balance half i.e. INR 15 Lac Crores would be on account of nearly 100 % surge in prices of present day equity stock. INR 50 Lac Crores would represent around INR 50000/- per capita investment. It may there fore be presumed that the Indian per capita income would be doubling in five years and the poverty would be limited to afflict only about 10% of populace comprising of mostly those people who would refuse to lift them selves up or refuse to allow to be lifted up or remain static in some remote pocket. The dream of Gandhi and Nehru would have been fulfilled to a great extent. However, the materialism would make Gandhi unhappy, as nothing for the soul’s consumption would be provided or available.

 

In the above paragraph, I have only tried to make the potential investor slightly bold in decision-making.

 

The visit of John Snow, US Treasury Secretary, ahead of George Bush visit is a signal that America ridden with concerns for pension provision for masses has a solid interest in Indian Economy. One should not be surprised if eventually the progress here picks up tremendously while the progress in China is slowed due to fatigue and due to much lesser room left for progressing further. I do see a possibility of almost 80% of the worlds’ population being over fed over clothed and over sheltered with much less training or trainers for the mind and soul. There fore the third world war on account of self-destructive attitude may actually happen bringing to naught the entire social and material development. Be sincere and serving, look inwards for peace, curtail consumption, don’t be wary, develop taste and engage in fine arts (fine arts reflect Godliness) and avoid grossism, are the main mantras for the gen-next from my side, the result of living dangerously but observantly. “

 

Our India has traversed the path as expected in paras above. We are growing at more than 8%. The market capitalisation has kept pace and the fresh issues of capital are going on. China has in fact slowed down a bit or is at least planning to slow down of its own accord. America has shown greater interest in Indian Economy, even to the extent of freeing it from the shackles of nuclear related restrictions imposed in past. Poverty is shying away and yet remains stubbornly entrenched in some pockets. We also see that though a year later markets are up by 50% since exactly a year before the profits of India Inc have surged by not more than 30% hence the markets have come in danger zone. Since than the yield on 10 year gilt paper is higher by at least 300 basis point. The liquidity overhang is no more visible hence, the cushion has disappeared. The May episode is not out of mind yet, there fore please be cool and rest in shed for a while. For reference, the Nifty closed at 3834(+38) on 10 Nov 2006.

 

Hari Om

BIRDINFO Stock Rx – A Vedic Prescription for stock market

Thursday, November 09, 2006

Market Matrix – The fear of fall has come true – 8 Nov 2006

By krsna Khandelwal – A Stock Market Vedic Theory proponent

The fear of fall has come true and what is more is that the markets have become very scary. At such a juncture one is mostly confused because of the utterings from high quarters do give him some idea that the economy is robust, tax collections are surpassing estimates, the industrial production figures are showing better numbers and the taxes are going to be reduced yet the markets fall. There are other related matters giving hope like the political front is quiet, the FII inflow is undeterred, the mutual fund kitty is more full than ever before, the interest rate fears have subsided, the inflation may be more but would be reined in, oil is not advancing but is receding, incomes are going up and so is investible funds with public etc etc, yet the market does not go up with conviction. There is there fore an untold unease.

 

What may be the case here? To understand this phenomenon please look at the returns the equity investors have got thus far. The optimism has been taking markets too high. It is mostly the lack of money parking place that the investors have not yet sold. The deluge would come when the profits start disappearing and the losses look in face. I am not saying that the end of road has arrived but the possibility of its arriving has increased. The India would keep progressing but not on the shoulders on Nifty and Sensex companies alone. There the premium on organisation has already gone up too much, it is the newly formed companies with fresh capital raising, and newer items to produce will take the country forward. This should have started happening long before but to my chagrin at personal level this has not been happening. Here comes the problem of entry barriers to the corridors of power for the ordinary and too much on the plate of the ones perched rightly.

 

My advice once more would be that please be very selective and do not rely on the general upward movement in market.

 

You may have noticed that the ‘Panch Tattva ‘ points have thrown up both types of possibilities on case-by-case basis. For the right analysis the undue influence of the trend and the personal biases have to be removed and the ‘Panch Tattva Teknik’ takes care of the same.

 

Hari Om

BIRDINFO Stock Rx – A Vedic Prescription for stock market

Wednesday, November 08, 2006

Panch Tattva: Recent – Some small cap scrips – 7 Nov 2006

By krsna Khandelwal – A Stock Market Vedic Theory proponent

Dear Friends,
The following is the out come of ‘panch tattva’ evaluation of some small cap companies at the CMP on 6 Nov 2006 and the point level may be noted for guidance :
PATELENG @431/- gets 821 points and may be ignored for the time being.
MOTHERSUMI @93/- gets 847 points and may be ignored for the time being.
IVRCLINFRA @335/- gets 773 points and may be ignored for the time being.
AVAYAGCL @296/- gets 877 points and may be ignored for the time being.
INGERRAND @332/- gets 840 points and may be ignored for the time being.
ELECON @315/- gets 847 points and may be ignored for the time being.
KALPTPOWR @920/- gets 875 points and may be ignored for the time being.
TORRENTPHARM @188/- gets 968 points and may be bought on declines.
CRANESSOFT @93/- gets 1090 points and may be bought.
UNIPHOS @295/- gets 947 points and may be bought on declines.
FLEX @67/- gets 1118 points and may be bought.
BLBLIMITED @17/- gets 854 points and may be ignored.
Most of the scrips above seem to be getting higher valuations on account of recent bull run and it is not advisable to jump for these under expectations. These second rung shares signify the possibility of impending troubled times for the leading indices.I would request my readers to be cautious and at least book profits on the 50% of holdings, it is important to remember that one in hand is better than two in bush.
Hari Om

BIRDINFO Stock Rx – A Vedic Prescription for stock market

Monday, November 06, 2006

Panch Tattva: Recent – TAJGVK HOTEL,HINDALCO,KESORAMIND and many more – 5 Nov 2006

By krsna Khandelwal – A Stock Market Vedic Theory proponent

Dear Friends,

 

I have checked the ‘Panch Tattva’ points as per the ‘Panch Tattva Teknik’ for the following scrips against CMP on 3 Nov 2006 for you to base your trading/investment decisions:

 

TAJGVK HOTEL @243/- gets 1020 points and may be purchased and kept for three months, those who wish to trade in short term may book profit along the way.

 

HINDALCO @187/- gets 1049 points and this is good for investing but the stop loss at 3% and 5% adverse movement should be kept in mind as the change in aluminum price in market would affect the share price immensely.

 

KESORAMIND @506/- gets 1005 points

 

MARUTI @974/- gets 932 points and this may be sold if in stock, as it may not give returns over the next three months.

 

M&M @ 761/- gets 923 points and this also may not be bought for the potential seems to be exhausted for the time being.

 

SBI @1126/- gets 1089 points and this may be bought on declines regularly and the profits booked on half the quantity along the way.

 

ICICIBANK @773/- gets 902 points and this is not preferable investment and may be ignored for the time being.

 

TATAMOTORS @815/- gets 880 points and this is not fit for investment just now.

 

UTIBANK @440/- gets 951 points and this may not be bought.

 

ASIANPAINT @690/- gets 84 points and this may be sold off.

 

HINDLEVER @235/- gets 899 points and this may be bought on declines but for medium/long term regularly and book profits along the way, in short run it may not give positive result.

 

ITC @ 187/- gets 1018 points and this may be regularly bought and book profit on half the qty in hand along the way.

 

BPCL @411/- gets 917 points and this may be ignored for the time being.

 

RIL @1286/- gets 936 points and this has run up enough on its upward course and may not be considered for investment until the next qly.

 

BHARTIARTL @546/- gets 1009 points and those who consider that the telecom scrip should remain in portfolio may buy it.

 

You are aware that the point level below ‘1000’ denotes that the scrip price is overpriced currently and may come down. The point level over ‘1000’ denotes that the scrip price is under priced currently and may go up. The level below or over ‘1000’ does not mean the proportional extent of deviation over the current price, it is necessary to refer to ‘Panch Tattva’ points after the announcement of the quarterly result. This is a scientific system of stock price evaluation and has been empirically tested for more than a decade.

 

Those who wish to avail my services even once before 31st Dec 2006 will be served at present rate of INR 20/- per scrip even after 31 Dec 2006.The rates would stand revised w.e.f. 1 Jan 2007 to INR 50/- per scrip. You are invited to avail the offer and get the benefit. Investors are requested to email me at krsnakhandelwal@yahoo.com .

 

Hari Om

BIRDINFO Stock Rx – A Vedic Prescription for stock market

Sunday, November 05, 2006

Panch Tattva: Recent – SYNDIBANK,PNB,NTPC,SAIL and many more – 30 Oct 2006

By krsna Khandelwal – A Stock Market Vedic Theory proponent

Dear Friends,

The following were analysed at CMP on 30.10.06 and the point levels are given below for guidance:

SYNDIBANK @83/- gets 1196 points

PNB @519/- gets 1098 points

NTPC @129/- gets 1049 points

SAIL @87/- gets 1295 points

ASIANPAINT @667/- gets 1001 points

TATASTEEL @498/- gets 1235 points

IDFC @ 82/- gets 1176 points

CUMMINSIND @ 250/- gets 945 points

PATELENG @ 357/- gets 807 points

ASHOKLEY @ 46/- gets 903 points

GAIL @262/- gets 982 points

BHEL @2441/- gets 859 points

TATAMOTORS @880/- gets 906 points

The above qualify for purchase if points are over 1000 and some may have moved down since 30 Oct but that would make them even more attractive to buy as the points worked out are for the next three months. The stop loss mechanism, advised as standard practice, makes sure that the most recent developments of serious nature do not put you under serious risk. You should also be ready to book profits, as the indices have entered risky waters.

The above having points less than ‘1000’ points may not be bought and may be selectively sold. Some may have moved up since then and may be acted upon without loss of time.

The value of ‘Panch Tattva Teknik ‘ lies in the its ability to keep you continuously invested in winning stocks for your invested amount working for higher returns. People have benefited, you may too. Please come forward to ask for ‘Panch Tattva ‘ numbers wherever there is confusion in your mind about any stock.

Those who wish to avail my services even once before 31st Dec 2006 will be served at present rate of INR 20/- per scrip even after 31 Dec 2006.The rates would stand revised w.e.f. 1 Jan 2007 to INR 50/- per scrip. You are invited to avail the offer and get the benefit. Investors are requested to email me at krsnakhandelwal@yahoo.com .

 

Hari Om

BIRDINFO Stock Rx – A Vedic Prescription for stock market

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